MATERIAL PRICES
Wood Price Today: Price, Trends and Forecast 2026 | Tacto
22.06.2026
Current wood price based on the HPE solid-wood packaging index (June reading 107.08 index points, +0.1 percent M/M, +11.3 percent Y/Y, published 19 June). Trend analysis on the stalling upward momentum, the structural softwood deficit in DACH and Central Eastern Europe, and the US preliminary cut of Canadian softwood duties (final August determination). Scenarios and procurement recommendations for European industrial buyers.
METHODOLOGY
The HPE solid wood index for wood packaging tracks the purchase prices of softwood sortiments used by the wood packaging, pallet and export packaging industry across DACH. The index is published monthly by HPE in cooperation with the University of Bonn. It includes domestic and imported wood. Real procurement costs additionally include grading, construction, drying energy, ISPM 15 treatment and logistics, none of which are inside the index itself.
AT A GLANCE
- HPE solid wood for wood packaging index 107.08 in June (+0.1 percent M/M, +11.3 percent Y/Y, published 19 June).
- Upward momentum has run out: +2.8 (March), +1.5 (April), +0.9 (May), +0.1 (June).
- Structural softwood deficit in DACH and Central Eastern Europe supports the base.
- US preliminary cut of Canadian softwood duties, final decision in August.
Contents
What is moving the price right now?
The HPE solid wood for wood packaging index prints 107.08 index points in June 2026 (base 100 = January 2026), up just 0.1 percent versus May and 11.3 percent year on year, published on 19 June. The upward momentum has effectively run out, after +2.8 percent in March, +1.5 percent in April and +0.9 percent in May. The index rises for the sixth month in a row, but only marginally.
The structural softwood deficit in DACH and Central Eastern Europe keeps the base firm. The US preliminary cut of Canadian softwood duties (final decision in August) tends to keep Canadian volume in the US market rather than relieving the Atlantic inflow to Europe.
Energy pass-through (drying) and freight remain secondary drivers. Momentum has clearly slowed from the first quarter but has not reversed.
What we watch: the final US duty decision in August and the autumn TTF move, both of which feed the drying-cost pass-through.
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What does this mean for procurement in DACH?
For 12-month anchors on wood packaging and solid-wood components, the index clause on the HPE solid wood for wood packaging monthly remains the clean basis. With momentum stalling in June, the cap-and-floor band can be set tighter than last quarter.
Watch the final US duty decision in August: it determines how much Canadian softwood stays diverted into the US market and how far the European Atlantic inflow is dampened.
Separate the wood base from conversion in the costing so you share in any correction if momentum turns in the second half.
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Wood Price Forecast: Our Procurement Intelligence Team's Assessment
Base Scenario
June reading 107.08, upward momentum effectively run out (+0.1 percent M/M). The structural softwood deficit in DACH and Central Eastern Europe supports the base, while the US preliminary cut of Canadian softwood duties keeps Canadian volume in the US market.
Risk Scenario
The final US duty decision in August confirms 25 percent or lower, an autumn TTF move lifts the drying pass-through, firmer Scandinavian-Baltic freight. Probability 25 to 30 percent.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When the cost of maintaining your current specification (especially if it relies on Canadian softwood) exceeds the cost of re-engineering for available domestic material or exploring OSB-based alternatives. In the current tariff environment, this analysis has shifted significantly in favor of substitution for many applications.
Most price-sensitive are higher grades (Select, #1, #2) with domestic origin, SYP with specific grades, and all Canadian-origin softwood. These segments are where tariff impact, mill capacity constraints, and lead-time pressure show up most acutely.
Combined tariffs on Canadian softwood average 30–45% depending on origin and product category. For procurement teams that historically sourced Canadian SPF or other softwoods at lower cost, these tariffs have fundamentally changed the landed cost equation. This may favor switching to domestic species (SYP, Douglas Fir) or material substitution (OSB-based solutions).
The Framing Lumber Composite Index is a real-time market anchor for softwood lumber spot pricing and reflects actual mill and distribution pricing. It’s tracked daily by Random Lengths and Fastmarkets and is highly relevant for industrial wood procurement. Your actual costs additionally depend on grade, species, moisture, volume, lead time, and tariff exposure on Canadian-origin material.
